'Hard' Data Stays Resilient... For Now

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Another NFP passes by...

Goldman Sachs macro traders Rikin Shah and Cosimo Codacci-Pisanelli highlight that we are in an awkward period where the recession tail has been priced out as markets become more comfortable placing an upper bound on where the effective tariff rate in the US could be, but we still don’t know the extent of the impact of tariffs on US hard data.