Three dozen states are holding elections for governor in November, teeing up a test in several of the battleground states President Trump won in 2024.

Swing states like Nevada, Georgia and Wisconsin are key bellwethers for the national mood around the White House, the economy and the political parties writ large.

Two Midwestern states have also emerged as tests for the two parties, with Republicans eager to flip Kansas now that Gov. Laura Kelly (D) is term-limited, and Democrats seeing an opening in Iowa.

Unlike federal races, which can easily get swept up in national issues, voters have treated gubernatorial races more personally, making some of them ripe for ticket splitting.

Here’s a look at the five governor’s seats most likely to flip this fall.

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