Is this the J.K. Rowling revolution?

A new Gallup poll shows that fewer Americans believe it is moral for someone to change his gender. In 2021, 46% of Americans said it was morally acceptable, but five years later, only 38% of Americans think so.

What happened?

Well, there were swings among several demographics. Only 5% of Republicans now think gender transition is moral, down from 22%. Even among Democrats, there’s been a decline: 60% think it’s moral now, down from 67%.

Middle-aged and older Americans are also rethinking their views. About half (51%) of 35- to 54-year-olds thought gender transition was moral in 2021. Only 40% agreed in 2026. Similarly, support among the 55-and-older crowd declined 14 percentage points, from 38% to 24%, during that same time period.

But the most notable change, in my view, was among women.

In 2021, half of women believed it was morally acceptable for someone to change his gender. Today, only 38% of women believe that—a drop of 12 percentage points.

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