The progressive Democrats who won their congressional primaries in New York City could have very short tenures in Congress if they are elected, as redistricting comes into play.
House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, D-N.Y., is aiming to redraw New York's congressional districts in 2028 to add more potential Democrat seats, and any redraw could impact districts represented by far-left lawmakers or sought by the party's newer nominees.
New York has an amendment on the ballot for voters to approve whether to redraw its maps.
A proposed redistricting map from 2022 would impact the districts sought by former New York City Comptroller Brad Lander and Assemblywoman Claire Valdez.
Lander's district would be drawn into a district in red-leaning Staten Island, while Valdez's district would see her lose the northern part of her district.
"There will be new lines in 2028 and, generally speaking, the newer members are the most at risk," Chris Coffey, CEO of Tusk Strategies, told Politico.
Gustavo Gordillo, the co-chair of the Democratic Socialists of America's New York City chapter, told Politico that tinkering with the districts sought by Lander and Valdez would lead to unintended consequences.
"Claire Valdez is already basically a packed DSA district, so if they change that district very much, it suddenly makes any neighboring district easier terrain for us. I think that also goes for NY-10 as well," he said, referencing Lander's district.
"I'm curious to see how they navigate that."
Jeffries has not said publicly how he plans to redraw New York's maps, but he has been adamant about using redistricting to counter Republican-led redistricting efforts.
"Leader Jeffries is focused on passing the constitutional amendment to ensure New York has a fair and competitive congressional map that can help stop the nationwide MAGA power grab in places like Florida and Texas, and create additional opportunities to elect House Democrats in 2028 and beyond," spokesperson Justin Chermol said in a statement to Politico.
Jeffries would work with the New York State Democratic Party and the state Legislature to redraw the maps, but both the state Senate and Assembly also saw their own recent leftward shifts.
"I don't know about anyone else, but the Senate is not interested in using redistricting to take sides in a civil war," state Sen. Michael Gianaris, D-Astoria, told Politico.
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