President Donald Trump has suffered a sharp decline in support among independent voters during his second term, according to a Newsweek analysis published Saturday that examined multiple national polling datasets through June 2026.
The report found Trump's standing with independents has deteriorated across every major survey reviewed, with approval and favorability ratings falling between 10 and 46 points since early 2025.
Independent voters, often a decisive bloc in midterm elections, now view the president overwhelmingly negatively.
Civiqs tracking data shows Trump's approval among independents has dropped from a net -5 at the start of his term to -33, while an Economist/YouGov survey recorded a net approval rating of -50, the lowest level for independents in that polling series.
Separate analyses from AP-NORC and the Public Religion Research Institute found support among independents has fallen from roughly four in 10 during the 2024 election period to about one-quarter today.
Concerns over the rising cost of living and growing unease surrounding the escalating conflict with Iran have contributed to the erosion in support.
Polling experts cited in the report described the shift as unusually large and sustained, noting that independent voters have continued moving away from Trump while Republican and Democrat views have remained relatively stable.
The convergence of multiple polling methodologies pointing to the same trend suggests a significant and potentially consequential weakening of Trump's support among independent voters ahead of the 2026 midterm elections.