Imagine America With Only 450,000 Immigrants a Year

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Here’s the New York Times headline.

What America Might Look Like With Zero Immigration – NYT

A horrifying wasteland

Grocery stores and churches are quieter in immigrant neighborhoods. Fewer students show up in Los Angeles and New York City. In South Florida, Billo’s Caracas Boys, a Venezuelan orchestra, puts on an annual holiday concert where generations of families come to dance salsas and paso dobles. This year, the orchestra announced at the last minute that it was canceling the show because so many people are nervous about leaving home.

How will America survive?

Here’s the reality though.

Shrinking the foreign-born population won’t happen overnight. Oxford Economics estimates that net immigration is running at about 450,000 people a year under current policies. That is well below the two million to three million a year who came in under the Biden administration. The share of the country’s population that is foreign born hit 14.8 percent in 2024, a high not seen since 1890.

450,000 people a year is the equivalent of the population of Minneapolis arriving every single year. And that’s what the open borders liberals are deploring.

Because they prefer 2-3 million a year.

We can do with a lot less than 450,000 a year. But what we need isn’t a numbers game, but quality immigration vs low quality immigration. Even 10 people a year from Somalia is too many. On the other hand, we have people coming in from Eastern Europe who are building businesses. Ditto for Latin America where we need to distinguish between Indian peasants and gang members, and people with skills and drive.

We need an immigration limit, but more importantly need selective immigration.

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Daniel Greenfield

Daniel Greenfield, a Shillman Journalism Fellow at the David Horowitz Freedom Center, is an investigative journalist and writer focusing on the radical Left and Islamic terrorism. Daniel became CEO of the David Horowitz Freedom Center in 2025.

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