Hispanic remorse? Maybe not in California.

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My guess is that the Democrats will win in California, but Mr. Hilton will put up a great fight. He will be sharper in debates than Mr. Becerra, but the numbers are not there because they tell us that Hispanics will not vote for the GOP out there.

Well, what if that is not true about Hispanics this time around?

What if 30 years of one-party rule has finally taken its toll on Hispanics? Let’s take a look at this, from David Catron:

All year the corporate media has produced story after story telling us that Latino voters are suffering buyer’s remorse after voting for President Trump and Republicans in 2024. This, we are told, is due to the failure of the GOP to drive down prices and defeat inflation. This seems reasonably plausible, but California’s gubernatorial primary produced no evidence that it is actually true. Indeed, it appears that it was support from Latino voters that enabled Republican Steve Hilton to emerge as one of the top two finishers who will face off in the November general election. Hilton will face Democrat Xavier Becerra, who generated remarkably flaccid support among Latino voters.

This doesn’t mean Hilton will defeat Becerra in this Democratic state, but his showing among Latinos suggests that GOP performance in the midterms will be stronger than the legacy media would have us believe. According to a report in the Daily Torch, Fresno County is 55 percent Latino, yet Hilton beat Becerra by 14 points. Hilton also flipped Tulare County, which is nearly 70 percent Latino, winning it by 17 percentage points. In Madera County, which is 60 percent Latino, Hilton beat Becerra by 23 points. And it gets better. All across California Hilton received twice the number of votes received by Gov. Gavin Newsom’s last GOP challenger, Brian Dahle, in June’s primary. Becerra secured 1.4 million fewer votes than did Newsom in 2022.
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But the numbers that really should encourage Republicans are the results in large counties with a lot of Latino voters. In San Bernardino County the electorate is more than 53 percent Latino and Becerra only managed to eke out 26.1 percent of the vote while Hilton and fellow Republican Chad Bianco received 45.9 percent combined. Riverside County is over 50 percent Latino and Becerra received 27.2 percent while Hilton and Bianco received 47.7 percent combined. Obviously, Chad Bianco isn’t going to be on the ballot in November, so it’s reasonable to assume that most of Bianco’s votes will go to Hilton, including those allegedly disillusioned Latino voters who just cast ballots for him.

Disillusioned Latinos? My guess is that there are lots of them in Los Angeles, and other cities. They are disillusioned with one-party rule that produces the chaos and lawlessness in the city. Or the one-party rule that doesn’t lock up criminals. I wonder how many El Salvador immigrants in LA wish that the criminals in LA got the Bukele treatment with respect to crime? Or the one-party rule that won’t pick up garbage because the public sector unions run the state. Or the one-party rule that won’t stand up to the teachers who want to tell your son that he can be a girl if he feels like it.

And then there is the cost of living, which includes very high local taxes that do not translate into good public services.

For years, California Democrats have relied on the Latino vote on the basis that the GOP is too harsh on immigration enforcement. Maybe Mr. Hilton will flip that theory by simply convincing Latinos in California that they are not getting their money’s worth. In other words, the Democrats can’t govern, and the evidence on that case is overwhelmingly true.

Maybe there’s more to voting than immigration reform, especially when your kid can’t read at his graduation level or your grandmother can’t walk to the “bodega” without a bum stealing her purse.

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