The donkey is in trouble
As my late father used to say, we have more polls than gas stations in this country. I think of that every time that I see a new poll. It seems as if that's all they do in the media these days. Also, everyone seems to have their poll, i.e. Fox News, the Washington Post, etc.
As long we are playing the game of polls, let's share this one. You are not hearing a lot about the Quinnipiac poll. Let's check with Matt Margolis:
Democrats are sinking like a stone, and the new Quinnipiac poll makes it official: their congressional approval rating has hit a historic low of just 18%, with a brutal 73% disapproving. That's the worst number Quinnipiac has recorded since they started asking the question back in 2009. Even CNN's chief data analyst, Harry Enten, couldn't hide his shock, declaring that "Democrats, in the minds of the American public, are lower than the Dead Sea."
The real kicker? Democrats are turning on their own party. Only 42% of Democratic voters approve of how their representatives in Congress are performing, while 48% disapprove. Back in October, the numbers were 58% approval and 36% disapproval among Democrats. That's a 28-point nosedive in just two months.
This is not a universal anti-Congress sentiment either. An impressive 77% of Republican voters approve of their party's performance. The enthusiasm gap couldn't be clearer.
The generic ballot tells another critical aspect of the story. Democrats still lead 47% to 43%, but that's down from a more comfortable 50% to 41% advantage in October. The momentum has swung hard toward Republicans heading into 2026, and the narrowing margin should have Democratic strategists sweating.
On the issues that matter most to voters, Republicans have seized control. They lead 46% to 41% on handling the economy and 47% to 42% on immigration, despite voters thinking that the GOP is too harsh on undocumented immigrants. When asked which party is more in touch with their concerns, it's essentially a dead heat: Democrats at 44%, Republicans at 42%. So much for the Democrats' empathy advantage.
Well, don't plan to go surfin' on that blue wave coming. It does not look that it's coming at all. Of course, the Democrats may still win the House because it does not require a big shift, i.e. 1 district here, 2 districts there and you can have a small majority.
But as I've told friends, President Trump and the GOP have two big things going for them.
First, the generic vote is tight and the election is 11 months away. How many people predicted Trump winning the popular vote or U.S. Senate in December 2023? I don't remember any.
Second, he is running against a very unpopular Democrat party with aging leadership, an internal generational war, and a total bankruptcy of ideas. They have nothing to run on beyond Trump cutting taxes for the rich or wanting people to die for lack of ObamaCare subsidies.
Again, don't misunderstand. This is going to be a tough campaign and we need to bring our best fastball to the game. At the same time, don't panic because the donkey has issues and they are huge.
I can’t resist so let me say it: This ain’t your grandfather’s donkey.
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Image: Pixabay